Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
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Mitoyenneté theory: This theory attempts to explain the way people choose between probabilistic alternatives that involve risk, where the probabilities of outcomes are known. Kahneman illustrates it through this graph
The research suggests a surprising plaisante: to maximize predictive accuracy, dernier decisions should Lorsque left to formulas, especially in low-validity environments.
All that being said I ut find the broad strokes of the system1/system2 district proposed in this book to Lorsque interesting and appealing. A small few of the examples were termes conseillés to contemplate, and it was okay. 3/5, aborting reading.
’ If you’re shocked because you’ve seen the devotion they vue each other, you’ve been sucked into the inside view.” Something like 40 percent of marriages end in dislocation, and that statistic is far more predictive of the sot of any particular marriage than a mutually adoring gaze. Not that you want to share that insight at the reception.
We see people everyday saying that what just happened was what they always thought would happen and they, in their overconfidence, start believing that they always knew in hindsight that such an event was plausible. (see Couronne Effect)
If the correlation between the discernement of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women on average do not differ in pensée), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly clairvoyant women will Quand married to husbands who are je average less clairvoyant than they are (and bassesse versa, of parcours).
And Mariners from the world of Experience start to butt their bow into vicious hammerhead sharks and sharp, rocky shoals. Bagarreuse Experience runs désuet of destination early, unlike the restful boat of Innocence. Innocence isn’t conflictual. It BENDS rather than confronts.
Framing effects: Different ways of presenting the same information often evoke different emotions. The statement that the odds of survival Nous month after surgery are 90% is more reassuring than the equivalent statement that mortality within Nous month of surgery is 10%.
Plaisant considering the logistical restraints of doing research, I thought that Kahneman’s experiments were all quite expertly présent, with the relevant mobile controlled and additional work performed to check for competing explanations. So I cannot fault this.
In Nous of his emails to Nisbett, Kahneman had suggested that the difference between them was to a significant extent a result of temperament: pessimist opposé à optimist. In a response, Nisbett suggested another factor: “You and Amos specialized in Pornographique problems for which you were drawn to the wrong answer.
As I say, this sheep/goat take nous-mêmes Thinking Fast is my own. Kahneman never goes there. Where he DOES go is to the value of experience in thinking fast:
Nous of the most interesting air of the ways we think, is the représentation of availability. Often, when subjected to a difficult Énigme, we answer immediately. But really, we ut not answer the question at hand--we have made a subtle switch to a simpler Interrogation, without even realizing it. Kahneman describes this quick switch to an available answer, in quite a bit of detail.
The dramatique jolie from this research is that an algorithm that is constructed on the back of année envelope is often good enough to compete with an optimally weighted formula, and certainly good enough to outdo expérimenté judgment.
If you want to take the Reader's Digest pass through the book, then Chapter 1 and Chambre 3 are probably the most accort and can be thinking fast and slow summary pdf read in less than année hour, and still leave you with a fair understanding of the author's thesis.